Project Abstract
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This 1-day workshop was organized jointly by the Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP) and representatives of the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) and the Global Earthquake Model (GEM) Foundation. The goals of the workshop were to strengthen collaborations on the evaluation of earthquake and ground-motion forecasting methods, to assess new CSEP results and to continue reshaping CSEP’s modus operandi to better address the evolving needs of the community. Several major themes were covered. First, Operational Earthquake Forecasting (OEF) and its evaluation were a major focus in light of on-going efforts in the US, in New Zealand, and in Italy. Second, the implications of epistemic uncertainty for forecasting (including automated ensemble modeling) and CSEP testing methods were addressed. A third theme was the predictability of fluid injection-induced seismicity. Finally, we will focus on recent research on hazard models testing and evaluation. |
