Earthquake Simulators are Ready for Prime Time

Bruce E. Shaw

Published August 16, 2018, SCEC Contribution #8839, 2018 SCEC Annual Meeting Talk on Tue 10:30 (PDF)

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A major leap has been made in the last year where earthquake simulators have been shown to replicate seismic hazard statistics across California, matching remarkably well the results from UCERF3. What this means, how to take advantage of it, why it has worked, and where we are pushing further forward will all be discussed. This application of earthquake simulators will also be deployed as an example to address the more general question of how to use, and how not to use simulators, and the importance of robustness.

Shaw, B. E. (2018, 08). Earthquake Simulators are Ready for Prime Time. Oral Presentation at 2018 SCEC Annual Meeting.

Related Projects & Working Groups
Earthquake Forecasting and Predictability (EFP)