Slip transient pattern changes: external perturbation or intrinsic interaction with earthquakes

Yingdi Luo, & Zhen Liu

Submitted August 12, 2019, SCEC Contribution #9437, 2019 SCEC Annual Meeting Poster #TBD

Advances in geodetic techniques enable us to detect slow-slip events (SSE) and shallow fault creeping events (part of shallow SSE) with improving accuracy and coverage. Recent observations reveal intriguing changes of SSE behavior before and/or after earthquakes. However, the physics behind these observations remain largely unknown. How does SSE pattern change during an earthquake cycle? How do SSEs respond to “external” stress perturbations? Can SSE pattern changes shed light on the onset of a large earthquake? To address these questions, we employ laboratory-based rate-and-state frictional law on faults with realistic frictional properties incorporating earthquake and SSE regions. In the first set of models we consider subduction zone setting with deep SSE interacting with megathrust earthquakes. In the second set of models we consider strike slip fault settings with shallow SSEs interacting with strike slip earthquakes. We conduct both 2D and 3D quasi-dynamic earthquake cycle simulations to study the “intrinsic” SSE pattern changes as how it evolves at different stages of the earthquake cycle, versus the changes in SSE pattern responding to external stress perturbations. Our results suggest that, despite both intrinsic and perturbation models are capable to introduce large variability in SSE pattern, there are considerably observable characteristics that can be used to differentiate these two scenarios. On one hand, without external perturbation the SSE patterns can change intrinsically during an earthquake cycle. The recurrence interval of SSEs decreases significantly right before megathrust earthquake and could be used as a potential warning sign. On the other hand SSE patterns can vary significantly when perturbed by an earthquake or other tectonic/non-tectonic sources. Recurring SSEs can be advanced or delayed by external perturbations, and multiple SSEs can be affected if perturbation is long lasting.

Key Words
Slow-slip events, creep events, rate-and-state friction, earthquake nucleation

Citation
Luo, Y., & Liu, Z. (2019, 08). Slip transient pattern changes: external perturbation or intrinsic interaction with earthquakes. Poster Presentation at 2019 SCEC Annual Meeting.


Related Projects & Working Groups
Fault and Rupture Mechanics (FARM)