Exciting news! We're transitioning to the Statewide California Earthquake Center. Our new website is under construction, but we'll continue using this website for SCEC business in the meantime. We're also archiving the Southern Center site to preserve its rich history. A new and improved platform is coming soon!

David S. Harte

GNS Science (New Zealand)
Statistical Seismologist and Hazard Modeller

Expertise: stochastic modelling, applied probability, multifractal measures
About Me Publications
Rhoades, D. A., Gerstenberger, M. C., Christophersen, A., & Harte, D. S. (2017, 08). Earthquake forecasts and their applications following the M7.8 2016 Kaikoura earthquake. Poster Presentation at 2017 SCEC Annual Meeting. SCEC Contribution 7689
Christophersen, A., Rhoades, D. A., Harte, D. S., & Gerstenberger, M. C. (2016, 08). Testing the effect of deficient real-time earthquake catalogs on non-Poissonian earthquake likelihood models: Examples from the Canterbury earthquake sequence. Poster Presentation at 2016 SCEC Annual Meeting. SCEC Contribution 6789
Gerstenberger, M. C., Rhoades, D. A., McVerry, G. H., Harte, D. S., & Christophersen, A. (2016, 09). Blurring the boundary between earthquake forecasting and seismic hazard. Oral Presentation at 2016 SCEC Annual Meeting. SCEC Contribution 6420
Harte, D. S., Rhoades, D. A., Christophersen, A., & Hainzl, S. (2016). Statistical estimation of the duration of aftershock sequences. Geophysical Journal International, 205(2), 1180-1189. doi: 10.1093/gji/ggw075. SCEC Contribution 6268
Salichon, J., Harte, D. S., & Ristau, J. (2016). A Revised Local Magnitude ($M_L$) Scale for New Zealand Earthquakes.. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 106(2), 398-407. doi: 10.1785/0120150293. SCEC Contribution 6258
Harte, D. S. (2015). Model parameter estimation bias induced by earthquake magnitude cut-off. Geophysical Journal International, 204(2), 1266-1287. doi: 10.1093/gji/ggv524. SCEC Contribution 6171
Williams, C. A., Harte, D. S., & Bebbington, M. (2015). Cumulative Coulomb Stress Triggering as an Explanation for the Canterbury (New Zealand) Aftershock Sequence: Initial Conditions Are Everything?. Pure and Applied Geophysics, 1-16. doi: 10.1007/s00024-015-1062-5. SCEC Contribution 6140
Harte, D. S. (2015). Log-likelihood of earthquake models: evaluation of models and forecasts. Geophysical Journal International, 201(2), 711-723. doi: 10.1093/gji/ggu442. SCEC Contribution 6079
Harte, D. S. (2014). An ETAS model with varying productivity rates. Geophysical Journal International, 198(1), 270-284. doi: 10.1093/gji/ggu129. SCEC Contribution 6081
Zhuang, J., Werner, M. J., & Harte, D. (2013). Stability of Earthquake Clustering Models: Criticality and Branching Ratios. Physical Review E, 88(6), 062109. doi: 10.1103/PhysRevE.88.062109. SCEC Contribution 1809
Harte, D. S. (2012). Bias in fitting the ETAS model: a case study based on New Zealand seismicity. Geophysical Journal International, 192(1), 390-412. doi: 10.1093/gji/ggs026. SCEC Contribution 6082
Harte, D. S., Bebbington, M., & Wang, T. (2011). Extracting Coseismic Signals from Groundwater Level. Mathematical Geosciences, 43(7), 799-817. doi: 10.1007/s11004-011-9356-3. SCEC Contribution 6142
Wang, T., Bebbington, M., & Harte, D. S. (2010). A comparative study of coherence, mutual information and cross-intensity models.. International Journal of Information and Systems Sciences, 6(1), 49-60. SCEC Contribution 6151
Jaume, S., Harte, D. S., & Bebbington, M. S. (2010). Repeated Intermittent Earthquake Cycles in the San Francisco Bay Region. Pure and Applied Geophysics, 167(6-7), 801-818. doi: 10.1007/s00024-010-0064-6. SCEC Contribution 6143
Harte, D. S., Bebbington, M., & Wang, T. (2010). Markov-modulated Hawkes process with stepwise decay. Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, 64(3), 521-544. doi: 10.1007/s10463-010-0320-7. SCEC Contribution 6141
Harte, D. (2010). PtProcess: An R Package for Modelling Marked Point Processes Indexed by Time. Journal of Statistical Software, 35(8), 1-32. doi: 10.18637/jss.v035.i08. SCEC Contribution 6083
Wang, Q., Vere-Jones, D., Wreede, M., Lp, D., & Harte, D. S. (2007). Quantifying the M8 algorithm: Model, forecast, and evaluation. New Zealand Journal of Geology and Geophysics, 50(2), 117-130. doi: 10.1080/00288300709509825. SCEC Contribution 6084
Vere-Jones, D., & Harte, D. S. (2005). The Entropy Score and its Uses in Earthquake Forecasting. Pure and Applied Geophysics, 162(6-7), 1229-1253. doi: 10.1007/s00024-004-2667-2. SCEC Contribution 6085
Vere-Jones, D., Vreede, M., Li, D., & Harte, D. S. (2003). Quantifying the M8 prediction algorithm: Reduction to a single critical variable and stability results. New Zealand Journal of Geology and Geophysics, 46(1), 141-152. doi: 10.1080/00288306.2003.9515001. SCEC Contribution 6145
Harte, D. S., & Bebbington, M. (2003). The linked stress release model for spatio-temporal seismicity: formulations, procedures and applications. Geophysical Journal International, 154(3), 925-946. doi: 10.1046/j.1365-246X.2003.02015.x. SCEC Contribution 6144
Harte, D. S. (2001). Multifractals: Theory and Applications. Boca Raton, : Chapman & Hall/CRC. SCEC Contribution 6156
Harte, D. S., & Bebbington, M. (2001). On the statistics of the linked stress release model. Journal of Applied Probability, 38A, 176-187. doi: 10.1239/jap/1085496600. SCEC Contribution 6152
Vere-Jones, D., & Harte, D. S. (1999). Differences in coverage between the PDE and New Zealand local earthquake catalogues. New Zealand Journal of Geology and Geophysics, 42(2), 237-253. doi: 10.1080/00288306.1999.9514843. SCEC Contribution 6154
Lu, C., Harte, D. S., & Bebbington, M. (1999). A linked stress release model for historical Japanese earthquakes: coupling among major seismic regions. Earth, Planets and Space, 51(9), 907-916. SCEC Contribution 6153
Harte, D. S. (1998). Dimension Estimates of Earthquake Epicentres and Hypocentres. Journal of Nonlinear Science, 8(6), 581-618. doi: 10.1007/s003329900060. SCEC Contribution 6155

Last updated Jul 22, 2019.