Exciting news! We're transitioning to the Statewide California Earthquake Center. Our new website is under construction, but we'll continue using this website for SCEC business in the meantime. We're also archiving the Southern Center site to preserve its rich history. A new and improved platform is coming soon!
Home  /  SCEC Annual Meetings and Workshops  /  2011 Time-Dependent Models in UCERF3 Workshop

2011 Time-Dependent Models in UCERF3 Workshop

Conveners: Ned Field and the Working Group on California Earthquake Probabilities
Dates: June 8, 2011
Location: Embassy Suites Mandalay Beach, Oxnard, CA

Summary: This workshop will address what represents both “best-available science” and implementable models with respect to time-dependent probabilities in our UCERF3 operational forecast.  Of particular emphasis here will be how to apply elastic rebound in un-segmented fault models, how to represent spatiotemporal clustering (e.g., ETAS), and the interpretation of the empirical model (apparent seismicity rate changes).