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ACES 2006: Workshop Agenda

Agenda for 5th ACES International Workshop, April 3-6, 2006
Maui Prince Hotel
Island of Maui, State of Hawaii, USA

An International Collaboration for the 21st Century:
Simulating and Forecasting Earthquakes and Tsunamis
with Information Technology

Presentations that are available for download are linked below.
If you have a presentation to contribute, please contact: scecinfo @ usc.edu

Monday, April 3
18:30 Ice Breaker/ Opening Reception
Welcoming Comments from ISB Members Donnellan, Matsu'ura, Mora, and Yin

Note: Posters can be set up today after 15:00
Tuesday, April 4 (Morning Session)
(Session I Chair: John Rundle)
 7:30 Breakfast
 8:30 Welcome and Introductions John Rundle
 8:40 NASA and NSF Perspectives on ACES
Andrea Donnellan
Jim Whitcomb
Kaye Shedlock

Overview and Status of Current ACES Programs
 9:00 Australian Advances in Constructing Multi-Scale Solid Earth Simulation Infrastructure to Model Phenomena Including Earthquakes and Tsunamis (412 MB ZIP) Peter Mora
 9:30 New Developments of Load/Unload Response Ratio (LURR) Theory (854 KB PPT) Xiang-chu Yin
10:00 Break
10:15 ACES-Related Research in Japan: Reproducing Core-Mantle Dynamics and Predicting Crustal Activities Through Advanced Computing (30 MB PPT) Mitshuhiro Matsu'ura
10:45 Advances in US Earthquake Simulation and Modeling (8.5 MB PPT) Andrea Donnellan
11:15 Future of ACES/iSERVO (5.5 MB PPT) John Rundle
11:45 Discussion
12:00 Lunch
Tuesday, April 4 (Afternoon Session)
(Session II Chairs: Xiang-chu Yin and Charles Sammis)


13:30
Statements from Proposed New iSERVO Nodes

Canada (4.2 MB PPT)
Taiwan (32 MB PPT)


Kristy Tiampo
How-wei Chen

Earthquakes and Forecasting
14:00 An Observational Test of the Origin of Accelerating Moment Release Before Large Earthquakes (15 MB PPT) David Bowman
14:20 Competing Models for Accelerating Moment Release Before Large Earthquakes (5.4 MB PPT) Charles Sammis
14:40 Why Weibull? Don Turcotte
15:00 The Physics of Forecasting (178 KB PPT) Bill Klein
15:20 Break
15:40 Non-linear scaling of slip on faults with fractal roughness: Implications for modeling of fault systems Jim Dieterich
16:00 Parallel Implementation of Temporal and Spatial Scanning of LURR Yangde Feng
15:40 Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (2.4 MB PPT) Bernard Minster
16:20 ALLCAL: An Earthquake Simulator for All of California (47 MB QuickTime) Steve Ward
16:40 Numerical Simulations and Earthquake Forecasting (2.3 MB PPT) John Rundle
17:00 Open Discussion: Possibility of Earthquake Forecasting
17:30 Poster Session
Wednesday, April 5 (Morning Session)
(Session III Chairs: Louis Moresi and Dave Yuen)
 7:30 Breakfast

Earthquakes and Solid Earth
 8:00 Study on the Different Charicteristics between LURR and State Vector before Strong Earthquakes in Southern California since 1980 (1.4 MB PPT) Yongxiang Zhang
 8:20 What Can We Learn About Unusual Earthquake Hazards From Large Scale Numerical Simulations? (10.1 MB PPT) Bernard Minster
 8:40 Effects on Depth Phases for Strong Motion Simulation in Taiwan (17 MB PPT) How-wei Chen
 9:00 An Inversion Method to Estimate Internal Stress Fields from Centroid Moment Tensors of Seismic Events (21 MB PPT) Toshiko Terakawa
 9:20 Long-Period Ground Motions Observed in Tokyo During Recent Nearby Earthquakes and Possible Damage For Future Large Earthquakes Beneath Tokyo (14 MB PPT) Takashi Furumura
 9:40 Break
10:00 Multiscale Brittle-Ductile Coupling and Slow Earthquakes (10 MB PPT) Dave Yuen
10:20 Viscoelastic Plastic Model of Continental Deformation (115 MB ZIP) Louis Moresi
10:40 3-D Simulation of Long-term Stress Build-up Caused by Mechanical Interaction at Convergent Plate Boundaries (14 MB PPT) Chihiro Hashimoto
11:00 Diversity of Stress Release Modes at Plate Interfaces Beneath the Kanto Region, Central Japan, Inferred from Geodetic Data Inversion Mitsuhiro Matsu'ura
11:20 Discussion
12:00 Lunch
13:30 Note: Wednesday Afternoon Free to View Posters and Enjoy Hawaii

Thursday, April 6 (Morning Session)
(Session IV Chairs: Kengo Nakajima and Steve Ward)
 7:30 Breakfast

Tsunamis and Earthquakes
 8:00 Making a Tsunami Simulation: A Two-Week Surfboard Ride (1.6 MB PPT) Elspeth Thorne
 8:20 Recent Development on Finite Element Modeling of Earthquakes and Its Induced Tsunami Generation Process (6.7 MB PPT) Huilin Xing
 8:40 Finite Fault Modeling in Near-Real Time for Tsunami Warning Applications (1.6 MB PPT) Stuart Weinstein
 9:00 TSUNAMI SIMULATION - Landslides, Impacts, and Quakes (68 MB QuickTime) Steve Ward
 9:20 Characterizing the Rupture Length of Large Earthquakes Using Seismic Arrays Vindell Hsu
 9:40 Estimating Seismic Moment from Broadband P-Waves (10 MB PPT) Barry Hirshorn
10:00 Break

Information Technology
10:20 Modeling and Visualization of Tsunamis (6 MB PPT) Huai Zhang and Dave Yuen
10:40 Interactive Visualization of Geophysical Data to Advance Earthquake Simulations Louise Kellogg
11:00 Supercomputing Applications in SCCAS (2.2 MB PPT) Xue-bin Chi
11:20 Numerical Modelling with Python and XML Lutz Gross
11:40 iSERVO Semantic Scholars' Grid (6.3 MB PPT) Geoffrey Fox
12:00 Integrated Predictive Simulation System for Earthquake and Tsunami Disaster (25 MB PPT) Kengo Nakajima
12:20 Lunch

Thursday, April 6 (Afternoon Session)
(Session V Chairs: Peter Mora and Andrea Donnellan)
13:45 Panel Discussion: Future Planning for ACES/iSERVO
15:15 Break
15:30 Final Thoughts and Writing Session
16:00 ACES/ISB Meeting
18:00 Closing Banquet


Poster Session

Scoring Virtual California: A method of comparing San Andreas fault virtual rupture data from simulations with the long-term geological record of earthquakes John Rundle and Lisa Grant
Improving Occurrence Time Estimates For Future Large Earthquakes Using Ensemble PI Methods James Holliday and John Rundle
Models and visualization of stress relaxation in a damaged material with application to the Earth's crust Louise Kellogg et al.
Geophysical Finite Element Simulation Tool (GeoFEST) (2.9 MB PPT) Jay Parker
Geographical Information Systemx Services in SERVOGrid Marlon Pierce
Modeling of spatiotemporally integrated GPS and DInSAR data Kristy Tiampo
Status of Quasi-Dynamic Parallel Numerical Modeling of Earthquake Interactions over a Wide Magnitude Range Using Rate and State Friction and Fast Multipoles Terry Tullis
Mesh construction for 2D FEM fault system simulations Dion Weatherly
Web Services for Remote Visualization in the Geosciences Dave Yuen et al.
Evaluating Earthquake Forecasting Strategies Using Molchan Trajectories Jeremy Zechar



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