Exciting news! We're transitioning to the Statewide California Earthquake Center. Our new website is under construction, but we'll continue using this website for SCEC business in the meantime. We're also archiving the Southern Center site to preserve its rich history. A new and improved platform is coming soon!
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Edward H. Field

United States Geological Survey
Research Geophysicist

Expertise: Strong ground motion & seismic Hazard Analysis, Earthquake probobilities
 
 
About Me Publications
Milner, K. R., & Field, E. H. (2023, 09). Hazard implications and epistemic uncertainties of the updated fault-system inversion model for the 2023 U.S. National Seismic Hazard Model. Poster Presentation at 2023 SCEC Annual Meeting. SCEC Contribution 13060
Milner, K. R., & Field, E. H. (2022, 09). Updates to the Fault-System Inversion Approach for use in the 2023 U.S. National Seismic Hazard Model. Poster Presentation at 2022 SCEC Annual Meeting. SCEC Contribution 12261
Milner, K. R., & Field, E. H. (2021, 08). OpenSHA: New tools and file formats for building and analyzing UCERF3-style rupture sets and running inversions. Poster Presentation at 2021 SCEC Annual Meeting. SCEC Contribution 11351
Field, E. H. (2019, 08). Improving Earthquake Rupture Forecasts (Using California as a Guide). Poster Presentation at 2019 SCEC Annual Meeting. SCEC Contribution 9782
Savran, W. H., Werner, M. J., Rhoades, D. A., Jackson, D. D., Field, E. H., Milner, K. R., Michael, A. J., Jordan, T. H., & Maechling, P. J. (2019, 08). Pseudo-Prospective Evaluation of Operational UCERF3-ETAS Forecasts during the Ridgecrest, California, Earthquake Sequence. Poster Presentation at 2019 SCEC Annual Meeting. SCEC Contribution 9576
Page, M. T., Field, E. H., Milner, K. R., & van der Elst, N. J. (2019, 08). Explaining the paleo-event hiatus in California. Poster Presentation at 2019 SCEC Annual Meeting. SCEC Contribution 9511
Milner, K. R., Field, E. H., Savran, W. H., Jordan, T. H., Page, M. T., & Werner, M. J. (2019, 08). Operational earthquake forecasting during the M6.4 Searles Valley and M7.1 Ridgecrest sequence using the UCERF3-ETAS model—evaluation and lessons learned. Poster Presentation at 2019 SCEC Annual Meeting. SCEC Contribution 9401
van der Elst, N. J., Milner, K. R., Field, E. H., McBride, S. K., & Page, M. T. (2018, 08). New software for computing time dependent seismic hazard during aftershock sequences using the OpenSHA platform. Poster Presentation at 2018 SCEC Annual Meeting. SCEC Contribution 8675
Maechling, P. J., Bielak, J., Callaghan, S., Cui, Y., Field, E. H., Goulet, C. A., Graves, R. W., Jordan, T. H., Milner, K. R., Olsen, K. B., Roten, D., Savran, W. H., Silva, F., Su, M., Taborda, R., & Vidale, J. E. (2018, 08). The SCEC Software Ecosystem for Earthquake System Science Research. Poster Presentation at 2018 SCEC Annual Meeting. SCEC Contribution 8582
Field, E. H., & WGCEP Participants, . (2017, 08). An Overview of the 3rd Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast (UCERF3). Poster Presentation at 2017 SCEC Annual Meeting. SCEC Contribution 7578
Shaw, B. E., Milner, K. R., Field, E. H., Richards-Dinger, K. B., Gilchrist, J. J., Dieterich, J. H., & Jordan, T. H. (2017, 08). Striking agreement of physics-based earthquake simulator and UCERF3 California seismic hazard model. Poster Presentation at 2017 SCEC Annual Meeting. SCEC Contribution 7458
Porter, K. A., Field, E. H., & Milner, K. R. (2016, 08). Trimming the UCERF3-TD Hazard Tree with a New Probabilistic Model-Reduction Technique. Poster Presentation at 2016 SCEC Annual Meeting. SCEC Contribution 7017
Page, M. T., van der Elst, N. J., Field, E. H., & Milner, K. R. (2016, 08). Testing ETAS Catalogs from UCERF3. Poster Presentation at 2016 SCEC Annual Meeting. SCEC Contribution 6962
Field, E. H., Milner, K. R., Hardebeck, J. L., Page, M. T., van der Elst, N. J., Jordan, T. H., Michael, A. J., Shaw, B. E., & Werner, M. J. (2016, 08). A Spatiotemporal Clustering Model for the Third Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast (UCERF3-ETAS) – Toward an Operational Earthquake Forecast. Poster Presentation at 2016 SCEC Annual Meeting. SCEC Contribution 6920
Field, E. H., Jordan, T. H., Jones, L. M., Michael, A. J., & Blanpied, M. L. (2015). The Potential Uses of Operational Earthquake Forecasting. Seismological Research Letters, (in preparation). SCEC Contribution 6029
Field, E. H., Milner, K. R., Hatem, A., Powers, P. M., Pollitz, F. F., Llenos, A. L., Zeng, Y., Johnson, K. M., Shaw, B. E., McPhillips, D., Thompson, J., Shumway, A. M., Michael, A. J., Shen, Z., Evans, E. L., Hearn, E. H., Mueller, C. S., Frankel, A., Petersen, M. D., DuRoss, C. B., Briggs, R., Page, M. T., Rubinstein, J. L., & Herrick, J. (2023). The USGS 2023 Conterminous U.S. Time‐Independent Earthquake Rupture Forecast. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America,. doi: 10.1785/0120230120. SCEC Contribution 13392
Petersen, M. D., Shumway, A. M., Powers, P. M., Field, E. H., Moschetti, M. P., Jaiswal, K. S., Milner, K. R., Rezaeian, S., Frankel, A., Llenos, A. L., Michael, A. J., Altekruse, J., Ahdi, S. K., Withers, K. B., Mueller, C. S., Zeng, Y., Chase, R., Salditch, L., Luco, N., Rukstales, K. S., Herrick, J. A., Girot, D. L., Aagaard, B. T., Bender, A. M., Blanpied, M. L., Briggs, R., Boyd, O. S., Clayton, B. S., DuRoss, C. B., Evans, E. L., Haeussler, P., Hatem, A., Haynie, K. L., Hearn, E. H., Johnson, K. M., Kortum, Z. A., Kwong, N. S., Makdisi, A. J., Mason, B., McNamara, D., McPhillips, D., Okubo, P., Page, M. T., Pollitz, F. F., Rubinstein, J. L., Shaw, B. E., Shen, Z., Shiro, B., Smith, J. A., Stephenson, W. J., Thompson, E. M., Thompson Jobe, J. A., Wirth, E., & Witter, R. C. (2023). The 2023 US 50-State National Seismic Hazard Model: Overview and implications. Earthquake Spectra,. doi: 10.1177/87552930231215428. SCEC Contribution 13391
Milner, K. R., & Field, E. H. (2023). A Comprehensive Fault System Inversion Approach: Methods and Application to NSHM23. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America,. doi: 10.1785/0120230122. SCEC Contribution 12733
Milner, K. R., Shaw, B. E., & Field, E. H. (2022). Enumerating Plausible Multifault Ruptures in Complex Fault Systems with Physical Constraints. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America,. doi: 10.1785/0120210322. SCEC Contribution 11760
Field, E. H., Milner, K. R., Page, M. T., Savran, W. H., & van der Elst, N. J. (2021). Improvements to the Third Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast ETAS Model (UCERF3-ETAS). The Seismic Record, 1(2), 117-125. doi: 10.1785/0320210017. SCEC Contribution 11677
Field, E. H., Milner, K. R., & Luco, N. (2021). The Seismic Hazard Implications of Declustering and Poisson Assumptions Inferred from a Fully Time-Dependent Model. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 112(1), 527-537. doi: 10.1785/0120210027. SCEC Contribution 11111
Milner, K. R., Shaw, B. E., Goulet, C. A., Richards-Dinger, K. B., Callaghan, S., Jordan, T. H., Dieterich, J. H., & Field, E. H. (2021). Toward Physics‐Based Nonergodic PSHA: A Prototype Fully Deterministic Seismic Hazard Model for Southern California. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America,. doi: https://doi.org/10.1785/0120200216. SCEC Contribution 10107
Milner, K. R., Field, E. H., Savran, W. H., Page, M. T., & Jordan, T. H. (2020). Operational Earthquake Forecasting during the 2019 Ridgecrest, California, Earthquake Sequence with the UCERF3-ETAS Model. Seismological Research Letters, 91(3), 1567-1578. doi: 10.1785/0220190294. SCEC Contribution 9937
Field, E. H., Milner, K. R., & Page, M. T. (2020). Generalizing the Inversion-Based PSHA Source Model for an Interconnected Fault System. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 111(1), 371-390. doi: 10.1785/0120200219. SCEC Contribution 11859
Milner, K. R., Field, E. H., Savran, W. H., Page, M. T., & Jordan, T. H. (2020). Operational Earthquake Forecasting during the 2019 Ridgecrest, California, Earthquake Sequence with the UCERF3-ETAS Model. Seismological Research Letters, 91(3), 1567-1578. doi: 10.1785/0220190294. SCEC Contribution 10129
Savran, W. H., Werner, M. J., Marzocchi, W., Rhoades, D. A., Jackson, D. D., Milner, K., Field, E., & Michael, A. (2020). Pseudoprospective Evaluation of UCERF3-ETAS Forecasts during the 2019 Ridgecrest Sequence. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 110(4), 1799-1817. doi: 10.1785/0120200026. SCEC Contribution 10082
Field, E. H., Milner, K. R., & Porter, K. A. (2020). Assessing the value of removing earthquake-hazard-related epistemic uncertainties, exemplified using average annual loss in California. Earthquake Spectra, 36(4), 1912-1929. doi: 10.1177/8755293020926185. SCEC Contribution 10055
Field, E. H. (2019). How Physics‐Based Earthquake Simulators Might Help Improve Earthquake Forecasts. Seismological Research Letters,. doi: 10.1785/0220180299. SCEC Contribution 8987
Field, E. H. (2018). Improving Earthquake Rupture Forecasts Using California as a Guide. Seismological Research Letters, 89(6), 2337-2346. doi: 10.1785/0220180151. SCEC Contribution 8850
Shaw, B. E., Milner, K. R., Field, E. H., Richards-Dinger, K., Gilchrist, J. J., Dieterich, J. H., & Jordan, T. H. (2018). A physics-based earthquake simulator replicates seismic hazard statistics across California. Science Advances, 4(8). doi: 10.1126/sciadv.aau0688. SCEC Contribution 8093
Field, E. H., & Milner, K. R. (2018). Candidate Products for Operational Earthquake Forecasting Illustrated Using the HayWired Planning Scenario, Including One Very Quick (and Not‐So‐Dirty) Hazard‐Map Option. Seismological Research Letters, 89(4), 1420-1434. doi: 10.1785/0220170241. SCEC Contribution 8033
Field, E. H., Jordan, T. H., Jones, L. M., Michael, A. J., & Blanpied, M. L. (2017). The potential uses of operational earthquake forecasting. Seismological Research Letters, 87(2a), 313-322. doi: 10.1785/0220150174. SCEC Contribution 7292
Field, E., Porter, K., & Milner, K. (2017). A Prototype Operational Earthquake Loss Model for California Based on UCERF3-ETAS – A First Look at Valuation. Earthquake Spectra, 33(4), 1279-1299. doi: 10.1193/011817EQS017M. SCEC Contribution 7279
Field, E. H., Jordan, T. H., Page, M. T., Milner, K. R., Shaw, B. E., Dawson, T. E., Biasi, G. P., Parsons, T., Hardebeck, J. L., Michael, A. J., Weldon, R. J., Powers, P. M., Johnson, K. M., Zeng, Y., Felzer, K. R., van der Elst, N. J., Madden, C., Arrowsmith, R., Werner, M. J., & Thatcher, W. R. (2017). A Synoptic View of the Third Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast (UCERF3). Seismological Research Letters, 88(5), 1259-1267. doi: 10.1785/0220170045. SCEC Contribution 7165
Field, E. H., Milner, K. R., Hardebeck, J. L., Page, M. T., van der Elst, N. J., Jordan, T. H., Michael, A. J., Shaw, B. E., & Werner, M. J. (2017). A Spatiotemporal Clustering Model for the Third Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast (UCERF3-ETAS): Toward an Operational Earthquake Forecast. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 107(3), 1049-1081. doi: 10.1785/0120110177. SCEC Contribution 7163
Porter, K., Field, E., & Milner, K. (2017). Trimming a Hazard Logic Tree with a New Model-Order-Reduction Technique. Earthquake Spectra, 33(3), 857-874. doi: 10.1193/092616EQS158M. SCEC Contribution 7145
Field, E. H. (2015). UCERF3: A New Earthquake Forecast for California’s Complex Fault System. USGS Fact Sheet, 2015(3009). SCEC Contribution 6090
Field, E. H., Biasi, G. P., Bird, P., Dawson, T., Felzer, K. R., Jackson, D. D., Johnson, K. M., Jordan, T. H., Madden, C. L., Michael, A. J., Milner, K. R., Page, M. T., Parsons, T., Powers, P. M., Shaw, B. E., Thatcher, W. R., Weldon, R. J., & Zeng, Y. (2015). Long‐Term Time‐Dependent Probabilities for the Third Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast (UCERF3). Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 105(2A), 511-543. doi: 10.1785/0120140093. SCEC Contribution 2099
Field, E. H., Biasi, G. P., Bird, P., Dawson, T., Felzer, K. R., Jackson, D. D., Johnson, K. M., Jordan, T. H., Madden, C. L., Michael, A. J., Milner, K. R., Page, M. T., Parsons, T., Powers, P. M., Shaw, B. E., Thatcher, W. R., Weldon, R. J., & Zeng, Y. (2015). Long-Term Time-Dependent Probabilities for the Third Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast (UCERF 3). Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 105(2a), 511-543. doi: 10.1785/0120140093. SCEC Contribution 2066
Field, E. H. (2015). Computing Elastic‐Rebound‐Motivated Earthquake Probabilities in Unsegmented Fault Models: A New Methodology Supported by Physics‐Based Simulators. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 105(2A), 544-559. doi: 10.1785/0120140094. SCEC Contribution 2065
Field, E. H., & Jordan, T. H. (2015). Time-Dependent Renewal-Model Probabilities When Date of Last Earthquake is Unknown. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 105(1), 459-463. doi: 10.1785/0120140096. SCEC Contribution 1991
Field, E. H. (2015). Computing elastic-rebound-motivated earthquake probabilities in un-segemented fault models – A new methodology supported by physics-based simulators. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 105(2A), 544-559. doi: 10.1785/0120140094. SCEC Contribution 1990
Page, M. T., Field, E. H., Milner, K. R., & Powers, P. M. (2014). The UCERF3 Grand Inversion: Solving for the Long‐Term Rate of Ruptures in a Fault System. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 104(3), 1181-1204. doi: 10.1785/0120130180. SCEC Contribution 1999
Field, E. H., Biasi, G. P., Bird, P., Dawson, T., Felzer, K. R., Jackson, D. D., Johnson, K. M., Jordan, T. H., Madden Madugo, C. L., Michael, A. J., Milner, K. R., Page, M. T., Parsons, T., Powers, P. M., Shaw, B. E., Thatcher, W. R., Weldon, R. J., & Zeng, Y. (2013). Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast, Version 3 (UCERF3)—The Time-Independent Model (1165). , : . SCEC Contribution 1792
Tullis, T. E., Richards-Dinger, K. B., Barall, M., Dieterich, J. H., Field, E. H., Heien, E. M., Kellogg, L. H., Pollitz, F. F., Rundle, J. B., Sachs, M. K., Turcotte, D. L., Ward, S. N., & Burak Yikilmax, M. (2012). A Comparison among Observations and Earthquake Simulator Results for the allcal2 California Fault Model. Seismological Research Letters, 83(6), 994-1006. doi: 10.1785/0220120094. SCEC Contribution 6246
Porter, K. A., Field, E. H., & Milner, K. R. (2012). Trimming the UCERF2 hazard logic tree. Seismological Research Letters, 83(5), 815-828. SCEC Contribution 2074
Graves, R., Jordan, T. H., Callaghan, S., Deelman, E., Field, E. H., Juve, G., Kesselman, C., Maechling, P., Mehta, G., Milner, K., Okaya, D., Small, P., & Vahi, K. (2010). CyberShake: A Physics-Based Seismic Hazard Model for Southern California. Pure and Applied Geophysics, 168(3-4), 367-381. doi: 10.1007/s00024-010-0161-6. SCEC Contribution 1354
Schorlemmer, D., Zechar, J. D., Werner, M. J., Field, E. H., Jackson, D. D., & Jordan, T. H. (2010). First results of the Regional Earthquake Likelihood Models experiment. Pure and Applied Geophysics,. SCEC Contribution 1230
Field, E. H., Dawson, T., Felzer, K. R., Frankel, A., Gupta, V., Jordan, T. H., Parsons, T., Petersen, M. D., Stein, R. S., Weldon, R. J., & Wills, C. J. (2009). Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast, Version 2 (UCERF 2). Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 99(4), 2053-2107. doi: 10.1785/0120080049. SCEC Contribution 2109
Callaghan, S., Maechling, P. J., Deelman, E., Vahi, K., Mehta, G., Juve, G., Milner, K. R., Graves, R. W., Field, E. H., Okaya, D. A., Beattie, K. S., & Jordan, T. H. (2008). Reducing Time-to-Solution Using Distributed High-Throughput Mega-Workflows -- Experiences from SCEC CyberShake. Oral Presentation at 4th IEEE International Conference on eScience. SCEC Contribution 1237
Field, E. H., Dawson, T., Felzer, K. R., Frankel, A., Gupta, V., Jordan, T. H., Parsons, T., Petersen, M. D., Stein, R. S., Weldon, R. J., & Wills, C. J. (2008). The Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast, Version 2 (UCERF 2) (1437). , : . SCEC Contribution 1138
Field, E. H. (2007). Overview of the Working Group for the Development of Regional Earthquake Likelihood Models (RELM). Seismological Research Letters, 78(1), 7-16. doi: 10.1785/gssrl.78.1.7. SCEC Contribution 10907
Maechling, P. J., Gupta, V., Gupta, N., Field, E. H., Okaya, D. A., & Jordan, T. H. (2005). Seismic Hazard Analysis Using Distributed Computing in the SCEC Community Modeling Environment. Seismological Research Letters, 76(2), 177-181. SCEC Contribution 967
Maechling, P. J., Gupta, V., Gupta, N., Field, E. H., Okaya, D. A., & Jordan, T. H. (2005). Grid Computing In the SCEC Community Modeling Environment. Seismological Research Letters, 76(5), 581-587. SCEC Contribution 966
Field, E. H., Gupta, V., Gupta, N., Maechling, P. J., & Jordan, T. H. (2005). Hazard Map Calculations Using GRID Computing. Seismological Research Letters, 76(5), 565-573. SCEC Contribution 913
Field, E. H., Seligson, H. A., Gupta, N., Gupta, V., Jordan, T. H., & Campbell, K. (2005). Loss Estimates for a Puente Hills Blind-Thrust Earthquake in Los Angeles, California. Earthquake Spectra, 21(2), 329-338. doi: 10.1193/1.1898332. SCEC Contribution 825
Field, E. H., Gupta, N., Gupta, V., Blanpied, M. L., Maechling, P. J., & Jordan, T. H. (2005). Hazard Calculations for the WGCEP-2002 Earthquake Forecast Using OpenSHA and Distributed Object Technologies. Seismological Research Letters, 76(2), 161-167. SCEC Contribution 819
Field, E. H., Jordan, T. H., & Cornell, C. (2003). OpenSHA: A Developing Community-modeling Environment for Seismic Hazard Analysis. Seismological Research Letters, 74, 406-419. SCEC Contribution 715
Field, E. H. (2001). Earthquake Ground-Motion Amplification in Southern California. , : . SCEC Contribution 584
Field, E. H. (2000). A Modified Ground-Motion Attenuation Relationship for Southern California that Accounts for Detailed Site Classification and a Basin-Depth Effect. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 90(6B), S209-S221. doi: 10.1785/0120000507. SCEC Contribution 542
Field, E. H., & SCEC Phase-III Working Group, . (2000). Accounting for Site Effects in Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analyses of Southern California: Overview of the SCEC Phase III Report. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 90(6B), S1-S31. doi: 10.1785/0120000512. SCEC Contribution 535
Field, E. H., & Petersen, M. D. (2000). A Test of Various Site-Effect Parameterizations in Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analyses of Southern California. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 90(6B), S222-S244. doi: 10.1785/0120000502. SCEC Contribution 527
Field, E. H., Jackson, D. D., & Dolan, J. F. (1999). A Mutually Consistent Seismic-Hazard Source Model for Southern California. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 89(3), 559-578. SCEC Contribution 453
Field, E. H., Kramer, S., Elgamal, A., Bray, J., Matasovic, N., Johnson, P., Cramer, C., Roblee, C., Wald, D. J., Bonilla, L., & Anderson, J. G. (1998, 05). Nonlinear Site Response: Where We're At. Poster Presentation at VIIth International Symposium on the Observations of the Continental Crust through Drilling. SCEC Contribution 427
Field, E. H., Johnson, P., Beresnev, I. A., & Zeng, Y. (1997). Nonlinear Ground-Motion Amplification by Sediments During the 1994 Northridge Earthquake. Nature, 390, 599-602. doi: 10.1038/37586. SCEC Contribution 393
Field, E. H., & Hough, S. E. (1997). The Variability of PSV Response Spectra across a Dense Array Deployed during the Northridge Aftershock Sequence. Earthquake Spectra, 13(2), 243-257. doi: 10.1193/1.1585944. SCEC Contribution 221
Field, E. H. (1996). Spectral Amplification in a Sediment-filled Valley Exhibiting Clear Basin-edge Induced Waves. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 86(4), 991-1005. SCEC Contribution 227

Last updated Apr 02, 2024.