Exciting news! We're transitioning to the Statewide California Earthquake Center. Our new website is under construction, but we'll continue using this website for SCEC business in the meantime. We're also archiving the Southern Center site to preserve its rich history. A new and improved platform is coming soon!

Matthew C. Gerstenberger

GNS Science (New Zealand)
Seismologist

Expertise: Time dependent hazard assessment
 
 
About Me Publications
Mizrahi, L., Dallo, I., Kuratle, L. D., Christophersen, A., van der Elst, N. J., Werner, M. J., Spassiani, I., Falcone, G., Herrmann, M., Schneider, M., Page, M. T., Iturrieta, P. C., Gerstenberger, M. C., Bayona, J. A., Marzocchi, W., iervolino, i., & Wiemer, S. (2023, 09). Developing, testing and communicating earthquake forecasts: an expert elicitation for good practice recommendations. Poster Presentation at 2023 SCEC Annual Meeting. SCEC Contribution 13156
Savran, W. H., Iturrieta, P. C., Bayona, J. A., Asim, K. M., Schorlemmer, D., Herrmann, M., Rhoades, D. A., Jackson, D. D., Gerstenberger, M. C., Marzocchi, W., Graham, K., Maechling, P. J., & Werner, M. J. (2023). Seismological Research Letters. Modernizing CSEP Earthquake Forecasting Experiments: The Floating Testing Center, (in preparation). SCEC Contribution 12726
Iturrieta, P. C., Gerstenberger, M. C., Rollins, C., Van Dissen, R. J., Wang, T., & Schorlemmer, D. (2022, 09). Accounting for earthquake rates’ variability through Uniform Rate Zone forecasts. Applications to the New Zealand Seismic Hazard Model update.. Poster Presentation at 2022 SCEC Annual Meeting. SCEC Contribution 12441
Graham, K., Christophersen, A., Gerstenberger, M. C., & Rhoades, D. A. (2022, 09). Current State of New Zealand’s Operational Earthquake Forecasting (OEF). Poster Presentation at 2022 SCEC Annual Meeting. SCEC Contribution 12440
Bayona, J. A., Savran, W. H., Iturrieta, P. C., Gerstenberger, M. C., Marzocchi, W., Schorlemmer, D., & Werner, M. J. (2022, 09). Are Regionally Calibrated Seismicity Models more Informative than Global Models? Insights from California, New Zealand, and Italy. Poster Presentation at 2022 SCEC Annual Meeting. SCEC Contribution 12344
J Rastin, S., Rhoades, D. A., Gerstenberger, M. C., Rollins, C., & Christophersen, A. (2021, 08). Towards a distributed seismicity model for the New Zealand national seismic hazard update. Poster Presentation at 2021 SCEC Annual Meeting. SCEC Contribution 11266
Rhoades, D. A., Gerstenberger, M. C., Christophersen, A., & Harte, D. S. (2017, 08). Earthquake forecasts and their applications following the M7.8 2016 Kaikoura earthquake. Poster Presentation at 2017 SCEC Annual Meeting. SCEC Contribution 7689
Langridge, R. M., Villamor, P., Litchfield, N., Van Dissen, R. J., Clark, K., Ries, W., Kearse, J., Little, T., Gerstenberger, M. C., Goded, T., & Response Team, t. (2017, 07). The 2016 Mw 7.8 Kaikoura Earthquake: Perspectives from Earthquake Geology into Seismic Hazard. Oral Presentation at 2017 SCEC Annual Meeting. SCEC Contribution 7370
Gerstenberger, M. C., Rhoades, D. A., Christophersen, A., Fry, B., Wallace, L. M., McVerry, G., & Horspool, N. (2017, 07). Earthquake Forecasting in recent large events in New Zealand and the role of CSEP. Oral Presentation at 2017 SCEC Annual Meeting. SCEC Contribution 7364
Christophersen, A., Rhoades, D. A., Harte, D. S., & Gerstenberger, M. C. (2016, 08). Testing the effect of deficient real-time earthquake catalogs on non-Poissonian earthquake likelihood models: Examples from the Canterbury earthquake sequence. Poster Presentation at 2016 SCEC Annual Meeting. SCEC Contribution 6789
Rhoades, D. A., Christophersen, A., & Gerstenberger, M. C. (2016, 08). Earthquake likelihood models for New Zealand combining information on strain rates, earthquakes and faults. Poster Presentation at 2016 SCEC Annual Meeting. SCEC Contribution 6542
Gerstenberger, M. C., Rhoades, D. A., McVerry, G. H., Harte, D. S., & Christophersen, A. (2016, 09). Blurring the boundary between earthquake forecasting and seismic hazard. Oral Presentation at 2016 SCEC Annual Meeting. SCEC Contribution 6420
Gerstenberger, M. C., Van Dissen, R. J., Rollins, C., DiCaprio, C., Thingbaijim, K. S., Bora, S. S., Chamberlain, C., Christophersen, A., Coffey, G. L., Ellis, S., Iturrieta, P. C., Johnson, K. M., Litchfield, N. J., Nicol, A., Milner, K. R., Rastin, S. J., Rhoades, D. A., Seebeck, H., Shaw, B. E., Stirling, M., Wallace, L. M., Allen, T. I., Bradley, B. A., Charlton, D., Clark, K., Fraser, J., Griffin, J., Hamling, I., Howell, A., Hudson-Doyle, E., Hulsey, A., Jurgens, V., Kaiser, A. E., Kirkman, R., Langridge, R. M., Maurer, J. L., Rattenbury, M. S., Ristau, J., Schorlemmer, D., Townend, J., Villamor, P., & Williams, C. A. (2024). The Seismicity Rate Model for the 2022 Aotearoa New Zealand National Seismic Hazard Model. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 114(1), 182-216. doi: 10.1785/0120230165. SCEC Contribution 13421
Gerstenberger, M. C., Bora, S. S., Bradley, B. A., DiCaprio, C., Kaiser, A. E., Manea, E. F., Nicol, A., Rollins, C., Stirling, M., Thingbaijam, K. S., Van Dissen, R. J., Abbott, E. R., Atkinson, G. M., Chamberlain, C., Christophersen, A., Clark, K., Coffey, G. L., de la Torre, C. A., Ellis, S., Fraser, J., Graham, K., Griffin, J., Hamling, I., Hill, M. P., Howell, A., Hulsey, A., Hutchinson, J., Iturrieta, P. C., Johnson, K. M., Jurgens, V., Kirkman, R., Langridge, R. M., Lee, R. L., Litchfield, N. J., Maurer, J. L., Milner, K. R., Rastin, S., Rattenbury, M. S., Rhoades, D. A., Ristau, J., Schorlemmer, D., Seebeck, H., Shaw, B. E., Stafford, P. J., Stolte, A. C., Townend, J., Villamor, P., Wallace, L. M., Weatherill, G., Williams, C. A., & Wotherspoon, L. M. (2023). The 2022 Aotearoa New Zealand National Seismic Hazard Model: Process, Overview, and Results. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 114(1), 7-36. doi: 10.1785/0120230182. SCEC Contribution 13422
Jordan, T. H., Anderson, J. G., Biasi, G., Campbell, K., Dawson, T., DeShon, H., Gerstenberger, M., Gregor, N., Kelson, K., Lee, Y., Luco, N., Marzocchi, W., Rowshandel, B., Schwartz, D., Shome, N., Toro, G., Weldon, R., Wong, I., & Abrahamson, N. (2023). Panel Review of the USGS 2023 Conterminous U.S. Time-Independent Earthquake Rupture Forecast. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 114(1), 572-607. doi: 10.1785/0120230140. SCEC Contribution 13329
Bayona, J. A., Savran, W. H., Iturrieta, P. C., Gerstenberger, M. C., Graham, K., Marzocchi, W., Schorlemmer, D., & Werner, M. J. (2023). Are Regionally Calibrated Seismicity Models More Informative than Global Models? Insights from California, New Zealand, and Italy. The Seismic Record, 3(2), 86-95. doi: 10.1785/0320230006. SCEC Contribution 12706
Shaw, B. E., Fry, B., Nicol, A., Howell, A., & Gerstenberger, M. C. (2022). An Earthquake Simulator for New Zealand. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 112(2), 763-778. doi: 10.1785/0120210087. SCEC Contribution 11836
Cattania, C., Werner, M. J., Marzocchi, W., Hainzl, S., Rhoades, D., Gerstenberger, M., Liukis, M., Savran, W., Christophersen, A., Helmstetter, A., Jimenez, A., Steacy, S., & Jordan, T. H. (2018). The Forecasting Skill of Physics‐Based Seismicity Models during the 2010–2012 Canterbury, New Zealand, Earthquake Sequence. Seismological Research Letters, 89(4), 1238-1250. doi: 10.1785/0220180033. SCEC Contribution 8045
Schorlemmer, D., Werner, M. J., Marzocchi, W., Jordan, T. H., Ogata, Y., Jackson, D. D., Mak, S., Rhoades, D. A., Gerstenberger, M. C., Hirata, N., Liukis, M., Maechling, P. J., Strader, A., Taroni, M., Wiemer, S., Zechar, J. D., & Zhuang, J. (2018). The Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability: Achievements and Priorities. Seismological Research Letters, 89(4), 1305-1313. doi: 10.1785/0220180053. SCEC Contribution 8036
Rhoades, D. A., Christophersen, A., Gerstenberger, M. C., Liukis, M., Silva, F., Marzocchi, W., Werner, M. J., & Jordan, T. H. (2018). Highlights from the First Ten Years of the New Zealand Earthquake Forecast Testing Center. Seismological Research Letters, 89(4), 1229-1237. doi: 10.1785/0220180032. SCEC Contribution 8012
Rhoades, D. A., Liukis, M., Christophersen, A., & Gerstenberger, M. C. (2016). Retrospective tests of hybrid earthquake forecasting models for Canterbury. Geophysical Journal International, 204(1), 440-456. SCEC Contribution 6001
Steacy, S., Gerstenberger, M. C., Williams, C. A., Rhoades, D. A., & Christophersen, A. (2014). A new hybrid Coulomb/statistical model for forecasting aftershock rates. Geophysical Journal International, 196(2), 918-923. doi: 10.1093/gji/ggt404. SCEC Contribution 6059
Gerstenberger, M. C., McVerry, G. A., Rhoades, D. A., & Stirling, M. W. (2014). Seismic Hazard Modeling for the Recovery of Christchurch. Earthquake Spectra, 30(1), 17-29. doi: 10.1193/021913EQS037M. SCEC Contribution 6058
Rhoades, D. A., Gerstenberger, M. C., Christophersen, A., Zechar, J. D., Schorlemmer, D., Werner, M. J., & Jordan, T. H. (2014). Regional earthquake likelihood models II: Information gains of multiplicative hybrids. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 104(6), 2203-2215. doi: 10.1785/0120140035. SCEC Contribution 1837
Rhoades, D. A., Gerstenberger, M. C., Christophersen, A., & Liukis, M. (2013, 8). Utilising short-term and medium-term forecasting models for earthquake hazard estimation in the wake of the Canterbury earthquakes. Presentation at GNS Science Consultancy Report 2013. SCEC Contribution 2046
Rhoades, D. A., Gerstenberger, M. C., Christophersen, A., Zechar, J. D., Schorlemmer, D., Werner, M. J., & Jordan, T. H. (2013, 9). Multiplicative Hybrids of Models from the Five-Year RELM Experiment. Poster Presentation at SCEC Annual Meeting 2013. doi: 10.1785/0120140035. SCEC Contribution 1895
Gerstenberger, M. C., Rhoades, D. A., Liukis, M., & Christophersen, A. (2013, 9). Long-Term Testing of an Operational Earthquake Forecast Model for Canterbury. Poster Presentation at SCEC Annual Meeting 2013. doi: 10.1093/gji/ggv447. SCEC Contribution 1894
Zechar, J. D., Schorlemmer, D., Werner, M. J., Gerstenberger, M. C., Rhoades, D. A., & Jordan, T. H. (2013). Regional Earthquake Likelihood Models I: First-Order Results. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 103(2A), 787-798. doi: 10.1785/0120120186. SCEC Contribution 1664
Rhoades, D. A., Schorlemmer, D., Gerstenberger, M. C., Christophersen, A., & Zechar, J. D. (2010). Efficient testing of earthquake forecasting models. Acta Geophysica, 59(4), 728-747. doi: 10.2478/s11600-011-0013-5. SCEC Contribution 1456
Stirling, M. W., & Gerstenberger, M. C. (2010). Ground motion-based testing of seismic hazard models in New Zealand. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 100, 1407-1414. SCEC Contribution 1400
Zechar, J. D., Gerstenberger, M. C., & Rhoades, D. A. (2010). Likelihood-based Tests for Evaluating Space-Rate-Magnitude Earthquake Forecasts. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 100(3), 1184-1195. doi: 10.1785/0120090192. SCEC Contribution 1340
Gerstenberger, M. C., & Rhoades, D. A. (2010). New Zealand Earthquake Forecast Testing Centre. Pure and Applied Geophysics, 167(8-9), 877-892. doi: 10.1007/s00024-010-0082-4. SCEC Contribution 1240
Rhoades, D. A., & Gerstenberger, M. C. (2009). Mixture models for improved short-term earthquake forecasting. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 99(2a), 636-646. doi: 10.1785/0120080063. SCEC Contribution 1186
Schorlemmer, D., & Gerstenberger, M. C. (2007). RELM Testing Center. Seismological Research Letters, 78(1), 30-36. doi: 10.1785/gssrl.78.1.30. SCEC Contribution 1036
Schorlemmer, D., Gerstenberger, M. C., Wiemer, S., Jackson, D. D., & Rhoades, D. A. (2007). Earthquake Likelihood Model Testing. Seismological Research Letters, 78(1), 17-29. doi: 10.1785/gssrl.78.1.17. SCEC Contribution 1035
Wiemer, S., Gerstenberger, M. C., & Hauksson, E. (2002). Properties of the Aftershock Sequence of the 1999 Mw 7.1 Hector Mine Earthquake: Implications for Aftershock Hazard. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 92(4), 1227-1240. doi: 10.1785/0120000914. SCEC Contribution 543

Last updated Apr 02, 2024.