2026 SCEC UNREST Workshop

Understanding Natural Recurrence of Earthquakes and Slip over Time: How Can Geologic Slip, Slip-Rate and Paleoseismic Data Advance Earthquake Models?

Date: June 1-3, 2026
Location: Pismo Beach, CA
Workshop Organizers: Sally McGill, Kim Blisniuk, Michael Oskin, Scott Marshall
SCEC Award: 26054

Summary

Workshop: This SCEC workshop, to be held in Pismo Beach, California on June 2-3, 2026, will convene earthquake geologists and modelers to address key limitations in how geologic observations of faulting and past earthquakes are incorporated into earthquake-cycle, seismic hazard, and geodetic models. A central focus will be the improved curation, organization, and interpretation of geologic and geometric fault and earthquake datasets to better support model testing and validation.

The specific goals of the workshop are to:

  1. Foster sustained collaboration between modelers and researchers who generate geologic records of fault slip, rupture extent, slip rates, and the timing and regularity or irregularity of past earthquakes across California.
  2. Identify and prioritize the types and locations of geologic data that are most needed to reduce uncertainties in seismic hazard models and to more rigorously evaluate earthquake simulators.
  3. Constrain and explore the implications of discrepancies between deformation models informed by geologic data and those based primarily on geodetic observations.

The primary outcome of the workshop will be a written planning document that defines the scientific and data priorities for a new community effort focused on Understanding Natural Recurrence of Earthquakes and Slip over Time (UNREST). The UNREST plan will articulate priorities for new or enhanced open‑source geologic cyberdatabases needed by the modeling community, and will outline collaborative research directions to be pursued jointly by geologists and modelers.

Field Trip (optional): An optional all-day field trip is planned for June 1, with check-in at 07:30 and departure at 08:00 from the hotel. The itinerary begins with a visit to the Carrizo Plain to examine key features of the San Andreas Fault. Stops will focus on constraints on fault slip rate, evidence of recent surface-rupturing earthquakes, and implications for earthquake timing. The trip will then proceed westward toward the central Coast region, with additional observations of active fault systems and regional seismic hazard considerations. The day concludes at the Diablo Canyon Nuclear Power Facility near Pismo Beach, where discussions will address the interaction between active tectonics, site characterization, and infrastructure risk assessment.

Participants: We welcome applications from, and aim to achieve a balanced representation of, participants from two complementary research communities:

  1. Observational and Field-Based Geoscientists whose work focuses on generating geologic constraints on fault systems, including fault locations and geometries, fault slip rates, off-fault deformation, slip distributions in past earthquakes, the timing and regularity or irregularity of prehistoric earthquakes, and interactions within fault networks.
  2. Modelers who use these geologic constraints to develop, calibrate, or evaluate a range of modeling approaches, including seismic hazard models, earthquake-cycle simulations, geodetic or mechanical deformation models, AI-assisted identification of active faults, and related modeling frameworks.

We also seek a balance across career stages, including graduate students, early-career researchers, and established investigators, to promote cross-generational exchange and collaboration. Workshop capacity is limited to 35 participants, who will be selected based on their statement of interest and the potential contribution to the workshop objectives.

Accepted participants will be notified by April 24, 2026, with details on registration payments, hotel reservations, and additional travel support if applicable.

Registration Fees

The workshop registration fee is $135, which covers venue expenses, lunch, and coffee breaks on the workshop days (June 2-3).

The optional field trip is an additional $110 fee, which covers transportation, lunch and snacks during the field trip on June 1.

Travel Support

Applicants should complete the travel support section carefully as part of the application process. Students, early‑career researchers, and participants without institutional funding are especially encouraged to apply for travel support. Subject to available funding, SCEC travel support may include travel to the workshop venue, lodging and/or meal expenses.

All times below Pacific Time (UTC -7)

May 31, 2026

TimeAgenda ItemSpeaker
17:00 - 20:00Arrival and check-in for those going on optional June 1 field trip

June 1, 2026

TimeAgenda Item
07:30 - 08:00Field trip check-in
08:00 - 17:00

Field trip to Diablo Canyon Power Plant and San Simeon fault, led by Kim Blisniuk and Mike Oskin

An all-day field trip will begin at the San Andreas Fault in the Carrizo Plain and conclude at the Diablo Canyon Nuclear Power Facility near Pismo Beach, with a focus on fault slip rates, recent earthquake slip and timing, and active faulting and seismic hazard issues in the central Coast region. Box lunches and beverages will be provided.

17:00 - 20:00Arrival and check-in for those attending June 2-3 workshop only

June 2, 2026

TimeAgenda ItemPresenter
08:00 - 08:15Introduction:  overview of the workshop goals and agenda
Session 1: Geologic data needed for improvement of time independent seismic hazard models
08:15 - 08:30Invited: Utilization of Earthquake Geology Constraints in the USGS NSHMNed Field
08:30 - 08:45Invited: Development of Earthquake Geology Constraints for the USGS NSHMAlex Hatem
08:45 - 09:00Invited: Do earthquake ruptures propagate through the creeping section of the San Andreas Fault? Evidence from geologyBelle Philibosian
09:00 - 09:10Missed events and over-interpretation in paleoseismic records: implications for recurrence intervalsDevin McPhillips
09:10 - 09:15Quantifying Fault Offset Uncertainty from Displaced Landforms: Case Studies from Western North AmericaVeronica Prush
09:15 - 10:00Large‑group discussion
10:00 - 10:15Break
Session 2: Geologic data needed for validation of earthquake catalog simulators and time-dependent seismic hazard models
10:15 - 10:30Invited: Earthquake simulators and geological data constraints: current uses and opportunities for further valuable inputs Bruce Shaw
10:30 - 10:45Invited: Complex earthquake-cycle behavior revealed by distributions of paleoseismic inter-event timesMike Oskin
10:45 - 11:00Invited: On the behavior of faults and fault systems: Geological insights into patterns and controls on earthquake occurrence in time and spaceJames Dolan
11:00 - 11:10Fault-segmentation and the need for improved geologic and modeling constraints on multi-fault ruptures in seismic hazard modelsKevin Milner
11:10 - 11:15Episodic deformation in Santa Maria BasinNate Onderdonk
11:15 - 12:00Large group discussion
12:00 - 13:00Lunch at the hotel (hosted by SCEC)
Session 3: Geologic data needed for comparison to geodetic and/or mechanical deformation models
13:00 - 13:15Invited: Geodetically-derived deformation: where does all the strain rate go?Kaj Johnson
13:15 - 13:25Inferring geodetic slip rates with seismic-cycle models: The role of paleoseismic dataLiz Hearn
13:25 - 13:35Invited: Why we need a slip-rate database and more than one rate per faultScott Marshall
13:35 - 13:45Estimating evolving shear tractions on the southern San Andreas fault system based on the paleoseismic recordGrasshopper (Emery) Anderson-Merritt
13:45 - 14:45Large group discussion
14:45 - 15:00Break
Session 4: Setting priorities for the UNREST community effort (Part 1)
15:00 - 15:30UNREST Proposal: Towards a Digital Twin Fault SystemMike Oskin
15:30 - 16:00General discussion
16:00 - 17:00

Small‑group breakout discussions (assigned groups) 
Each group's task is to draft priority goals for the UNREST community for the specified topic area.

Group A: Geologic data needed for improvement of time independent seismic hazard models
Group B: Geologic data needed for validation of earthquake catalog simulators and time-dependent seismic hazard models
Group C: Geologic data needed for comparison to geodetic and mechanical models
Group D: Geologic data needed for validation of dynamic rupture models and multi-cycle earthquake models

June 3, 2026

TimeAgenda ItemPresenter
08:00 - 08:15Introduction to Day 2
Session 5: Geologic data needed for validation of dynamic rupture models and multi-cycle earthquake models
08:15 - 08:30Invited: An earthquake modeler’s wish list: geologic constraints for ensemble dynamic rupture and earthquake-cycle modelsAlice Gabriel
08:30 - 08:45Invited: Earthquake sequence synchronization and alternation driven by quasistatic elastic interactions across faultsAlba Rodriguez Padilla
08:45 - 08:55The past 1100-1200 years of earthquake ruptures on the southern San Andreas fault systemTom Rockwell
08:55 - 09:05Building Dynamic Rupture Simulations from the Geologic Data UpJulian Lozos
09:05 - 09:15Use of SAF-SJF paleoseismic data in multicycle earthquake modelsKate Scharer
09:15 - 09:20Dynamic rupture modeling of the Newport Inglewood fault: explaining complex rupture pathsDavid Oglesby
09:20 - 09:25Splay faulting as a potential indicator of rupture directionNadine Reitman
09:25 - 09:303D frictional-viscous earthquake-cycle modelling of the Cascadia subduction zone

Zhang Wenqiang

09:30 - 10:15Large Group Discussion
10:00 - 10:30Break
Session 6: Setting priorities for the UNREST community effort (Part 2)
10:30 - 11:45

Small-group break-out sessions (sign up for the group of your choice)
Each group's task is to draft priority goals for the UNRESTcommunity for the specified topic area.

Group A: Geologic data needed for improvement of time independent seismic hazard models
Group B: Geologic data needed for validation of earthquake catalog simulators and time-dependent seismic hazard models
Group C: Geologic data needed for comparison to geodetic and mechanical models
Group D: Geologic data needed for validation of dynamic rupture models and multi-cycle earthquake models
11:45 - 13:00

LUNCH in breakout groups at the hotel (hosted by SCEC)

Session 7: Building and sustaining the UNREST community
13:00 - 13:15The Geologic Slip Rate Database (GSRD) the Community Fault Model (CFM) and Cyberinfrastructure for SCEC-hosted databasesScott Marshall
13:15 - 13:30Building UNREST in a digital futureKim Blisniuk
13:30 - 14:00Large-group discussion
14:00 - 14:20Summaries (up to 5 minutes each) from break-out groups A, B, C and D
14:20 - 15:00Large group discussion and concluding remarks

SCEC Activities Code of Conduct

The Statewide California Earthquake Center (SCEC) fosters a diverse and inclusive community where everyone feels safe, productive, and welcome. We expect all participants in SCEC-supported events to uphold this commitment by adhering to the SCEC Activities Code of Conduct.

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