SCEC Award Number 22105 View PDF
Proposal Category Individual Proposal (Integration and Theory)
Proposal Title Structural control of rupture propagation and earthquake magnitude-frequency distribution in numerical models of the seismic cycle
Investigator(s)
Name Organization
Sylvain Barbot University of Southern California
Other Participants Dr. Baoning Wu (Postdoctoral Fellow)
SCEC Priorities 1d, 2e, 3c SCEC Groups FARM, EFP, SAFS
Report Due Date 03/15/2023 Date Report Submitted 03/22/2024
Project Abstract
Unraveling the governing laws behind rupture dynamics within seismic cycles is imperative for advancing earthquake prediction. However, the choice of a theoretical framework remains ambiguous. Fracture mechanics provides an integrated description of rupture characteristics based on the energy balance at the crack tip and a posteriori knowledge of the strength versus slip profile. In contrast, empirical friction laws provide a point-wise description of the constitutive behavior that reproduces many natural observations, albeit with unclear physical origins. Here, we use velocity-step and dynamic rupture experiments on transparent materials to show that a physical model of the slip-rate and state dependency of frictional sliding based on the real area of contact reconciles and explains both frameworks. We compare laboratory observations with numerical simulations spanning all phases of the seismic cycle, including the propagation of seismic waves. The model not only captures the source characteristics of dynamic ruptures, such as rupture velocity and stress drop, but also reproduces the evolution of light transmitted across the frictional interface during seismic ruptures. The physical assumptions explain the origin of the slip-rate and state dependency of friction and lead to a linear slip-weakening model under particular parametric configurations relevant to dynamic ruptures, compatible with principles from fracture mechanics. Continuous measurements of the state of a fault during seismic cycles emerge as a novel tool for advancing our understanding of the earthquake phenomenon.
Intellectual Merit The work advances our understanding of how rocks break under stress and heal over time in fault zones, accommodating the seismic cycle. The project contributes to "Developing rheologies that bridge scales and conditions for the San Andreas Fault System" by placing constraints on the constitutive behavior of rocks. Specifically, we show that the state variable of the slip-rate and state-dependent friction law may be the real area of contact. This is an important finding because the real area of contact can be measured in situ, using electrical conductivity or acoustic transmissivity across a fault as a proxy. This opens the door to new ways to actively monitor faults to, perhaps, predict impending earthquakes before they produce any strain.
Broader Impacts The project is supporting the work of a postdoctoral scholar, Baoning Wu, who conducted all the work under the supervision of PI Barbot. The work advances our understand of earthquake generation and opens the way to consider active monitoring of faults for earthquake early warning.
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