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ACES 2006: 5th ACES International Workshop
5th ACES International Workshop, April 4-6, 2006
Dates: April 4-6, 2006
Location: Maui Prince Hotel, Island of Maui, Hawaii, USA.
Agenda || Poster Session || Housing List
The theme of the meeting is: Simulating and Forecasting Earthquakes and Tsunamis with Information Technology
The APEC Cooperation on Earthquake Simulations (ACES) is a multi-lateral grand challenge science research cooperation of APEC (the Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation). The ACES program is fundamentally a coordinated international effort linking complementary nationally based programs, centers and research teams, whose mission is:
- To develop realistic numerical simulation models for the physics and dynamics of the complete earthquake generation process and to assimilate new earthquake observations into such models,
- To foster collaboration between the relevant complementary programs of participating APEC member economies,
- To foster development of the required research infrastructure and research programs.
The purpose of this meeting is to continue our highly successful ACES collaboration, moving towards development and implementation of the iSERVO program. Topics of interest will include new satellite measurements specfically InSAR, earthquake and tsunami forecasting, enabling computational methods including web services and petascale computing, and modeling and simulation. We would also like to discuss modes of collaboration for the future, and how these may be implemented in an evolving (Petascale) computing environment. More generically, we will also consider the following areas, which have arisen in connection with our previous collaborations:
- Information manipulation, visualization and interpretation of highly heterogeneous data sets arising from both simulations and space- and earth-based observations.
- Creation of multi-scale simulation data sets that are consistent with observed input data over the vast scales of observed earthquake data, from seconds to many thousands of years, and from meters to thousands of kilometers.
- Assimilation of observed data into simulations arising from multiple sources including space, surface and borehole measurements, geological field investigations, and laboratory-derived data.
- Integration of advanced methods for information storage and retrieval to enhance the interoperability and linkage of fixed and streaming data from simulations and observations.
Agenda
An International Collaboration for the 21st Century:
Simulating and Forecasting Earthquakes and Tsunamis with Information Technology
Presentations that are available for download are linked below.
If you have a presentation to contribute, please contact: SCEC
| Monday, April 3 | ||
| 18:30 | Ice Breaker/ Opening Reception Welcoming Comments from ISB Members Donnellan, Matsu'ura, Mora, and Yin Note: Posters can be set up today after 15:00 |
|
| Tuesday, April 4 | ||
| Morning Session (Session I Chair: John Rundle) | ||
| 7:30 | Breakfast | |
| 8:30 | Welcome and Introductions | John Rundle |
| 8:40 | NASA and NSF Perspectives on ACES | Andrea Donnellan Jim Whitcomb Kaye Shedlock |
| Overview and Status of Current ACES Programs | ||
| 9:00 | Australian Advances in Constructing Multi-Scale Solid Earth Simulation Infrastructure to Model Phenomena Including Earthquakes and Tsunamis | Peter Mora |
| 9:30 | New Developments of Load/Unload Response Ratio (LURR) Theory | Xiang-chu Yin |
| 10:00 | Break | |
| 10:15 | ACES-Related Research in Japan: Reproducing Core-Mantle Dynamics and Predicting Crustal Activities Through Advanced Computing | Mitshuhiro Matsu'ura |
| 10:45 | Advances in US Earthquake Simulation and Modeling | Andrea Donnellan |
| 11:15 | Future of ACES/iSERVO | John Rundle |
| 11:45 | Discussion | |
| 12:00 | Lunch | |
| Afternoon Session (Session II Chairs: Xiang-chu Yin and Charles Sammis) | ||
| 3:30 | Statements from Proposed New iSERVO Nodes Canada Taiwan |
Kristy Tiampo How-wei Chen |
| Earthquakes and Forecasting | ||
| 14:00 | An Observational Test of the Origin of Accelerating Moment Release Before Large Earthquakes | David Bowman |
| 14:20 | Competing Models for Accelerating Moment Release Before Large Earthquakes | Charles Sammis |
| 14:40 | Why Weibull? | Don Turcotte |
| 15:00 | The Physics of Forecasting | Bill Klein |
| 15:20 | Break | |
| 15:40 | Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability | Bernard Minster |
| 16:20 | ALLCAL: An Earthquake Simulator for All of California | Steve Ward |
| 16:40 | Numerical Simulations and Earthquake Forecasting | John Rundle |
| 17:00 | Open Discussion: Possibility of Earthquake Forecasting | |
| 17:30 | Poster Session | |
| Wednesday, April 5 | ||
| Morning Session (Session III Chairs: Louis Moresi and Dave Yuen) | ||
| 7:30 | Breakfast Earthquakes and Solid Earth |
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| 8:00 | Study on the Different Charicteristics between LURR and State Vector before Strong Earthquakes in Southern California since 1980 | Yongxiang Zhang |
| 8:20 | What Can We Learn About Unusual Earthquake Hazards From Large Scale Numerical Simulations? | Bernard Minster |
| 8:40 | Effects on Depth Phases for Strong Motion Simulation in Taiwan | How-wei Chen |
| 9:00 | An Inversion Method to Estimate Internal Stress Fields from Centroid Moment Tensors of Seismic Events | Toshiko Terakawa |
| 9:20 | Long-Period Ground Motions Observed in Tokyo During Recent Nearby Earthquakes and Possible Damage For Future Large Earthquakes Beneath Tokyo | Takashi Furumura |
| 9:40 | Break | |
| 10:00 | Multiscale Brittle-Ductile Coupling and Slow Earthquakes | Dave Yuen |
| 10:20 | Viscoelastic Plastic Model of Continental Deformation | Louis Moresi |
| 10:40 | 3-D Simulation of Long-term Stress Build-up Caused by Mechanical Interaction at Convergent Plate Boundaries | Chihiro Hashimoto |
| 11:00 | Diversity of Stress Release Modes at Plate Interfaces Beneath the Kanto Region, Central Japan, Inferred from Geodetic Data Inversion | Mitsuhiro Matsu'ura |
| 11:20 | Discussion | |
| 12:00 | Lunch | |
| 13:30 | Note: Wednesday Afternoon Free to View Posters and Enjoy Hawaii | |
| Thursday, April 6 (Morning Session) | ||
| Morning Session (Session IV Chairs: Kengo Nakajima and Steve Ward) | ||
| 7:30 | Breakfast Tsunamis and Earthquakes |
|
| 8:00 | Making a Tsunami Simulation: A Two-Week Surfboard Ride | Elspeth Thorne |
| 8:20 | Recent Development on Finite Element Modeling of Earthquakes and Its Induced Tsunami Generation Process | Huilin Xing |
| 8:40 | Finite Fault Modeling in Near-Real Time for Tsunami Warning Applications | Stuart Weinstein |
| 9:00 | TSUNAMI SIMULATION - Landslides, Impacts, and Quakes | Steve Ward |
| 9:20 | Characterizing the Rupture Length of Large Earthquakes Using Seismic Arrays | Vindell Hsu |
| 9:40 | Estimating Seismic Moment from Broadband P-Waves | Barry Hirshorn |
| 10:00 | Break Information Technology |
|
| 10:20 | Modeling and Visualization of Tsunamis | Huai Zhang and Dave Yuen |
| 10:40 | Interactive Visualization of Geophysical Data to Advance Earthquake Simulations | Louise Kellogg |
| 11:00 | Supercomputing Applications in SCCAS | Xue-bin Chi |
| 11:20 | Numerical Modelling with Python and XML | Lutz Gross |
| 11:40 | iSERVO Semantic Scholars' Grid | Geoffrey Fox |
| 12:00 | Integrated Predictive Simulation System for Earthquake and Tsunami Disaster | Kengo Nakajima |
| 12:20 | Lunch | |
| Afternoon Session (Session V Chairs: Peter Mora and Andrea Donnellan) | ||
| 13:45 | Panel Discussion: Future Planning for ACES/iSERVO | |
| 15:15 | Break | |
| 15:30 | Final Thoughts and Writing Session | |
| 16:00 | ACES/ISB Meeting | |
| 18:00 | Closing Banquet | |
Poster Session
| Scoring Virtual California: A method of comparing San Andreas fault virtual rupture data from simulations with the long-term geological record of earthquakes | John Rundle and Lisa Grant |
| Improving Occurrence Time Estimates For Future Large Earthquakes Using Ensemble PI Methods | James Holliday and John Rundle |
| Models and visualization of stress relaxation in a damaged material with application to the Earth's crust | Louise Kellogg et al. |
| Geophysical Finite Element Simulation Tool (GeoFEST) | Jay Parker |
| Geographical Information Systemx Services in SERVOGrid | Marlon Pierce |
| Modeling of spatiotemporally integrated GPS and DInSAR data | Kristy Tiampo |
| Status of Quasi-Dynamic Parallel Numerical Modeling of Earthquake Interactions over a Wide Magnitude Range Using Rate and State Friction and Fast Multipoles | Terry Tullis |
| Mesh construction for 2D FEM fault system simulations | Dion Weatherly |
| Web Services for Remote Visualization in the Geosciences | Dave Yuen et al. |
| Evaluating Earthquake Forecasting Strategies Using Molchan Trajectories |
Housing List
| Name | Country | Arrival | Departure |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mora, Peter Gross, Lutz Moresi, Louis Thorne, Elspeth Weatherly, Dion Xing, Huilin Tiampo, Kristy Chi, Xuebin Feng, Yangde Yin, Xiang-chu Zhang, Yongxian Furumura, Takashi Hashimoto, Chihiro Matsu'ura, Mitsuhiro Nakajima, Kengo Terakawa, Toshiko Chen, How-Wei Bowman, David Dieterich, Jim Donnellan, Andrea Fox, Geoffrey Grant, Lisa Hirshorn, Barry Holliday, James Hsu, Vindell Kellogg, Louise Klein, Bill McRaney, John Minster, Bernard Parker, Jay Pierce, Marlon Rundle, John Sammis, Charlie Shedlock, Kaye Tullis, Terry Turcotte, Don Ward, Steven Weinstein, Stuart Whitcomb, Jim Yuen, Dave Zechar, Jeremy |
Australia Australia Australia Australia Australia Australia Canada China China China China Japan Japan Japan Japan Japan Taiwan USA USA USA USA USA USA USA USA USA USA USA USA USA USA USA USA USA USA USA USA USA USA USA USA |
3-Apr 1-Apr 30-Mar 1-Apr 1-Apr 1-Apr 3-Apr 3-Apr 3-Apr 3-Apr 3-Apr 3-Apr 3-Apr 3-Apr 3-Apr 3-Apr 3-Apr 3-Apr 3-Apr 3-Apr 3-Apr 3-Apr 3-Apr 2-Apr 3-Apr 2-Apr 31-Mar 2-Apr 1-Apr 3-Apr 3-Apr 1-Apr 3-Apr 1-Apr 3-Apr 1-Apr 2-Apr 3-Apr 2-Apr 2-Apr 3-Apr |
6-Apr 8-Apr 8-Apr 8-Apr 8-Apr 8-Apr 7-Apr 7-Apr 7-Apr 7-Apr 7-Apr 7-Apr 7-Apr 7-Apr 7-Apr 7-Apr 7-Apr 7-Apr 7-Apr 7-Apr 6-Apr 7-Apr 7-Apr 8-Apr 7-Apr 9-Apr 9-Apr 9-Apr 8-Apr 7-Apr 7-Apr 9-Apr 7-Apr 9-Apr 7-Apr 9-Apr 7-Apr 7-Apr 7-Apr 7-Apr 7-Apr |
