Exciting news! We're transitioning to the Statewide California Earthquake Center. Our new website is under construction, but we'll continue using this website for SCEC business in the meantime. We're also archiving the Southern Center site to preserve its rich history. A new and improved platform is coming soon!
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John B. Rundle

University of California, Davis
Distinguished Professor

Expertise: Earthquake Source physics driven threshhold systems statistical field theory and physics of earthquakes; phase transitions; complex systems; driven threshold systems.
 
 
About Me Publications
Saylor, C., & Rundle, J. B. (2021, 08). Multifractal analysis of a seismic moment distribution obtained from InSAR inversion. Poster Presentation at 2021 SCEC Annual Meeting. SCEC Contribution 11175
Saylor, C., & Rundle, J. B. (2020, 08). A forest fire model of earthquake faulting. Poster Presentation at 2020 SCEC Annual Meeting. SCEC Contribution 10591
Ortez, R., & Rundle, J. B. (2019, 08). A Percolation Model for Induced Seismicity: An Avalanche Burst Model for Induced b-Value Seismicity.. Poster Presentation at 2019 SCEC Annual Meeting. SCEC Contribution 9890
Fildes, R. A., Turcotte, D. L., & Rundle, J. B. (2019, 08). Natural time analysis of quasi-periodic caldera collapse events during the 2018 Kīlauea volcano eruptive sequence. Poster Presentation at 2019 SCEC Annual Meeting. SCEC Contribution 9451
Grzan, D., Rundle, J. B., Wilson, J. M., & Song, T. (2019, 07). Tsunami Squares: Validation by Comparison to the Regional Ocean Modeling System Tsunami Simulator and Earthquake Driven Inundation Mapping. Poster Presentation at 2019 SCEC Annual Meeting. SCEC Contribution 9247
Donnellan, A., Parker, J. W., Heflin, M. B., Rundle, J. B., Grant Ludwig, L., & Lyzenga, G. A. (2018, 08). Deformation in the Yuha Desert from the 2010 M7.2 El Mayor – Cucapah Earthquake . Poster Presentation at 2018 SCEC Annual Meeting. SCEC Contribution 8774
Fildes, R. A., Kellogg, L. H., Turcotte, D. L., & Rundle, J. B. (2018, 08). Statistics of seismicity associated with a sequence of explosive eruptions at Kilauea, Hawaii. Poster Presentation at 2018 SCEC Annual Meeting. SCEC Contribution 8714
Luginbuhl, M., Rundle, J. B., & Turcotte, D. L. (2018, 08). Nowcasting Induced Seismicity at the Groningen gas field in the Netherlands . Poster Presentation at 2018 SCEC Annual Meeting. SCEC Contribution 8651
Donnellan, A., Parker, J. W., Granat, R. A., Heflin, M. B., Rundle, J. B., Grant Ludwig, L., Pierce, M. E., & Wang, J. (2017, 08). Northwest Propagation of Postseismic Deformation in the Yuha Desert from the 2010 M7.2 El Mayor – Cucapah Earthquake. Poster Presentation at 2017 SCEC Annual Meeting. SCEC Contribution 7777
Luginbuhl, M., Turcotte, D. L., & Rundle, J. B. (2017, 08). Natural Time and Nowcasting Induced Seismicity at the Groningen Gas Field in the Netherlands. Poster Presentation at 2017 SCEC Annual Meeting. SCEC Contribution 7494
Wilson, J. M., Rundle, J. B., Ward, S., Donnellan, A., Song, T., Komjathy, A., & Savastano, G. (2017, 08). Tsunami Squares: fast tsunami computation for use in coupled earthquake, tsunami, and ionosphere simulations. Poster Presentation at 2017 SCEC Annual Meeting. SCEC Contribution 7493
Wilson, J. M., Schultz, K. W., Rundle, J. B., & Bhaskar, R. (2016, 09). Using Virtual Quake for GNSS tsunami early warning: coupling earthquakes, tsunamis, and ionosphere physics. Poster Presentation at 2016 SCEC Annual Meeting. SCEC Contribution 6868
Yoder, M. R., Wilson, J. M., Rundle, J. B., & Glasscoe, M. T. (2016, 08). ETAS 2.x: The 2015 Nepal aftershock forecast, a Global ETAS Code, and ETAS based Ground Motion Forecastint. Poster Presentation at 2016 SCEC Annual Meeting. SCEC Contribution 6822
Luginbuhl, M., Rundle, J. B., & Turcotte, D. L. (2016, 09). Nowcasting Oklahoma and The Geysers, California. Poster Presentation at 2016 SCEC Annual Meeting. SCEC Contribution 6698
Donnellan, A., Parker, J. W., Granat, R. A., Heflin, M. B., Pierce, M. E., Wang, J., Rundle, J. B., & Grant Ludwig, L. (2016, 08). Access to Geodetic Imaging Products through GeoGateway Analysis, Modeling, and Response Tools. Poster Presentation at 2016 SCEC Annual Meeting. SCEC Contribution 6687
Tiampo, K. F., Klein, W., Jimenez, A., Kohen-Kadosh, S. Z., & Rundle, J. B. (2007). Evaluating the information content in seismicity measures. Pure and Applied Geophysics, (in preparation). SCEC Contribution 1083
Rundle, J. B., Turcotte, D. L., & Rundle, P. B. (2006). The Future Role of Numerical Simulations in RELM Forecasts. Seismological Research Letters, (in preparation). SCEC Contribution 940
Rundle, J. B., Rundle, P. B., Donnellan, A., Klein, W., Turcotte, D. L., & Fox, G. (2005). Variation, Correlation, and Recurrence in Topologically Realistic, System-Level Earthquake Simulations. Presentation at 4th ACES Workshop. SCEC Contribution 793
Rundle, J. B., Rundle, P. B., Donnellan, A., Klein, W., Morein, G., Li, P., & Turcotte, D. L. (2005). Stress Transfer in Earthquakes and Forecasting: Inferences from Numerical Simulations. Journal of Geophysical Research, (in preparation). SCEC Contribution 777
Rundle, J. B., Granat, R., Donnellan, A., Fox, G., & Crutchfield, J. P. (2021). Nowcasting Earthquakes: Imaging the Earthquake Cycle in California With Machine Learning. Earth and Space Science, 8(12). doi: 10.1029/2021EA001757. SCEC Contribution 10929
Rundle, J. B., Granat, R., Donnellan, A., Fox, G., & Crutchfield, J. P. (2021). Nowcasting Earthquakes: Imaging the Earthquake Cycle in California With Machine Learning. Earth and Space Science, 8(12). doi: 10.1029/2021EA001757. SCEC Contribution 10929
Yikilmaz, M. B., Turcotte, D. L., Heien, E. M., Kellogg, L. H., & Rundle, J. B. (2014). Critical jump distance for propagating earthquake ruptures across  stepovers. Pure and Applied Geophysics,. doi: 10.1007/s00024-014-0786-y. SCEC Contribution 2025
Tullis, T. E., Richards-Dinger, K. B., Barall, M., Dieterich, J. H., Field, E. H., Heien, E. M., Kellogg, L. H., Pollitz, F. F., Rundle, J. B., Sachs, M. K., Turcotte, D. L., Ward, S. N., & Burak Yikilmax, M. (2012). A Comparison among Observations and Earthquake Simulator Results for the allcal2 California Fault Model. Seismological Research Letters, 83(6), 994-1006. doi: 10.1785/0220120094. SCEC Contribution 6246
Sachs, M. K., Heien, E. M., Turcotte, D. L., Yikilmaz, M. B., Rundle, J. B., & Kellogg, L. H. (2012). Virtual California Earthquake Simulator. Seismological Research Letters, 83(6), 973-978. doi: 10.1785/0220120052. SCEC Contribution 1630
Tiampo, K. F., Klein, W., Li, H., Mignan, A., Toya, Y., Rundle, J. B., & Chen, C. (2010). Ergodicity and earthquake catalogs: Forecast testing and resulting implications. Pure and Applied Geophysics,. SCEC Contribution 1213
Toya, Y., Tiampo, K. F., Rundle, J. B., Chen, C., Li, H., & Klein, W. (2009). Pattern Informatics Approach to Earthquake Forecasting in 3D. Concurrency and Computation, 22(12), 1569-1592. doi: 10.1002/cpe.1531. SCEC Contribution 1243
Tiampo, K. F., Bowman, D., & Rundle, J. B. (2008). SAM and the PI index: Complementary approaches to earthquake forecasting. Pure and Applied Geophysics, 165(3-4), 693-709. SCEC Contribution 814
Klein, W., Gulbahce, N., Gould, H., Rundle, J. B., & Tiampo, K. F. (2007). The structure of fluctuations near mean-field critical points and spinodals and its implication for physical processes. Physical Review E, 75(3). doi: 10.1103/PhysRevE.75.031114. SCEC Contribution 942
Holliday, J. R., Chen, C., Tiampo, K. F., Rundle, J. B., Turcotte, D. L., & Donnellan, A. (2007). A RELM Earthquake Forecast Based on Pattern Informatics. Seismological Research Letters, 78(1), 87-93. doi: 10.1785/gssrl.78.1.87. SCEC Contribution 941
Tiampo, K. F., Rundle, J. B., Klein, W., & Holliday, J. R. (2007). Ergodicity in Natural Earthquake Fault Networks. Physical Review E, 75(6), 066107. doi: 10.1103/PhysRevE.75.066107. SCEC Contribution 813
Van Aalsburg, J. D., Grant Ludwig, L. B., Yakovlev, G., Rundle, P. B., Rundle, J. B., Turcotte, D. L., & Donnellan, A. (2007). A Feasibility Study of Data Assimilation in Numerical Simulations of Earthquake Fault Systems. Physics of the Earth and Planetary Interiors, 163(1-4), 149-162. doi: 10.1016/j.pepi.2007.04.020. SCEC Contribution 1082
Tiampo, K. F., Rundle, J. B., & Klein, W. (2006). Forecasting Rupture Dimension Using the Pattern Informatics Technique. Tectonophysics, 424(3-4), 367-376. doi: 10.1016/j.tecto.2006.03.047. SCEC Contribution 916
Chen, C., Rundle, J. B., Holliday, J. R., Nanjo, K. Z., Turcotte, D. L., Li, H., & Tiampo, K. F. (2006). Forecast verification for binary events applied to the 1999 Chi-Chi, Taiwan, earthquake. Terrestrial Atmospheric and Ocean Sciences, 17(3). SCEC Contribution 908
Tiampo, K. F., Rundle, J. B., & Klein, W. (2006). Stress Shadows Determined from a Phase Dynamical Measure of Historic Seismicity. Pure and Applied Geophysics, 163(11-12), 2407-2416. doi: 10.1007/s00024-006-0134-y. SCEC Contribution 812
Tiampo, K. F., Rundle, J. B., & Klein, W. (2006). Premonitory Seismicity Changes Prior to the Parkfield and Coalinga Earthquakes in Southern California. Tectonophysics, 413(1-2), 77-86. doi: 10.1016/j.tecto.2005.10.011. SCEC Contribution 811
Rundle, J. B., Rundle, P. B., Donnellan, A., Li, P., Klein, W., Morein, G., Turcotte, D. L., & Grant Ludwig, L. B. (2006). Stress Transfer in Earthquakes, Hazard Estimation and Ensemble Forecasting: Inferences from Numerical Simulations. Tectonophysics, 413(1-2), 109-125. doi: 10.1016/j.tecto.2005.10.031. SCEC Contribution 794
Tiampo, K. F., Rundle, J. B., Sá Martins, J. S., Klein, W., & McGinnis, S. (2004). Methods for Evaluation of Geodetic Data and Seismicity Developed with Numerical Simulations: Review and Applications. Pure and Applied Geophysics, 161(7), 1489-1507. doi: 10.1007/s00024-004-2516-3. SCEC Contribution 704
Tiampo, K. F., Rundle, J. B., & Klein, W. (2004). Ergodicity in Natural Fault Systems. Pure and Applied Geophysics, 161(9-10), 1957-1968. doi: 10.1007/s00024-004-2542-1. SCEC Contribution 703
Tiampo, K. F., Rundle, J. B., & Klein, W. (2003). Ergodic Dynamics in a Natural Threshold System. Physical Review Letters, 91(23), 238501.1-238501.4. doi: 10.1103/PhysRevLett.91.238501. SCEC Contribution 705
Tiampo, K. F., Rundle, J. B., McGinnis, S., Gross, S., & Klein, W. (2002). Eigenpatterns in Southern California Seismicity. Journal of Geophysical Research, 107(B12), 2354. doi: 10.1029/2001JB000562. SCEC Contribution 702
Rundle, P. B., Rundle, J. B., Tiampo, K. F., Sa Martins, J. S., McGinnis, S., & Klein, W. (2001). Nonlinear Network Dynamics on Earthquake Fault Systems. Physical Review Letters, 87(14), 148501.1-148501.4. doi: 10.1103/PhysRevLett.87.148501. SCEC Contribution 540

Last updated Jan 10, 2022.